Aslan Karatsev vs Elmer Moller — Ostrava CH Round of 32

Ostrava CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
RUS
Aslan Karatsev
#1285ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 April 2025
clay
DEN2
Elmer Moller
#147ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$153kYTD
$725kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
Karatsev A.
6-3 6-2
Moller E.
Karatsev A.
662
Moller E.
320

Aslan Karatsev defeated Elmer Moller 6-3 6-2 in the Ostrava CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Elmer Moller came in ranked #147.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Karatsev A.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Moller E.

Moller E.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Karatsev A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Karatsev A.Moller E.
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
39%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
2.3
Double faults / match·Even
4.5
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 75). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Karatsev A.Moller E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
43
69
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
81
Break points won·Clear edge
39
58
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Karatsev A.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
Moller E.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.9
Surface form
8.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
2.7
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Karatsev A.Moller E.
Freshness·
—
94

Moller E.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Piros Z.
Habib H.[8]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Habib H.[8]
Roca Batalla O.
4-66-36-4
Piros Z.
Onclin G.
6-36-2
Quarter-finals
Roca Batalla O.
Squire H.
7-56-1
Piros Z.
Rincon D.
6-37-5
Onclin G.
Brunclik P.
1-66-07-5
Habib H.[8]
Kopriva V.[1]
6-36-4
R16
Brunclik P.
Karatsev A.
6-746-36-3
Habib H.[8]
Evans D.
6-36-4
Squire H.
Sachko V.
7-56-2
Roca Batalla O.
Klein L.[7]
6-45-77-63
Rincon D.
Gombos N.
7-661-67-5
Piros Z.
Kumstat J.
6-36-3
Onclin G.
Butvilas E.
5-76-26-2
Kopriva V.[1]
Jianu F.
6-36-3
R32
Onclin G.
Wong C.[6]
6-25-76-3
Brunclik P.
Albot R.
6-26-1
Kopriva V.[1]
Martinez A.
6-26-1
Jianu F.
Molleker R.
6-46-4
Evans D.
Jermar J.
6-06-2
Habib H.[8]
Sultanov K.
6-37-64
Sachko V.
Mannarino A.[3]
6-07-64
Squire H.
Van Assche L.
7-646-2
Klein L.[7]
Holmgren A.
6-33-66-3
Rincon D.
Mayot H.[5]
7-616-4
Gombos N.
Sels J.
2-66-07-5
Piros Z.
Svrcina D.[4]
6-36-1
Butvilas E.
Mrva M.
7-646-1
Karatsev A.
Moller E.[2]
6-36-2
Kumstat J.
Cassone M.
6-47-63
Roca Batalla O.
Houkes M.
6-37-5