Alibek Kachmazov vs James MccabeGuangzhou CH Quarter-final

Guangzhou CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#782ATP
1490ELO
1467Hard ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 April 2025
hard
#242ATP
1532ELO
1481Hard ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Kachmazov A.
7-6 6-4
Mccabe J.
Kachmazov A.
7762
Mccabe J.
6540

Alibek Kachmazov defeated James Mccabe 7-6 6-4 in the Guangzhou CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — James Mccabe came in ranked #242, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kachmazov A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mccabe J.

Mccabe J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kachmazov A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.2
8.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
49
37
Break points saved·Even
82
85
Break points won·Slight edge
16
9
Deciding sets·Slight edge
61
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1467
Surface ELO
5.0+15 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1490
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1532
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
6.3
Surface form
4.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
2.9
Minutes 14d
7.5
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Mccabe J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast