Brandon Holt vs Rio NoguchiGuangzhou CH Round of 32

Guangzhou CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#657ATP
1537ELO
1507Hard ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 April 2025
hard
#222ATP
1532ELO
1513Hard ELO
27 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLL
Holt B.
7-6 7-6
Noguchi R.
Holt B.
77772
Noguchi R.
63620

Brandon Holt defeated Rio Noguchi 7-6 7-6 in the Guangzhou CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rio Noguchi came in ranked #222, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Holt B.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Noguchi R.

Noguchi R.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Holt B.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
0.9
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
23
Break points saved·Dominant
85
25
Break points won·Slight edge
31
26
Deciding sets·Even
79
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
69
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1507
Surface ELO
5.2+5 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1532
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
4.6
Fatigue & Travel
1.9
Minutes 14d
5.8
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Noguchi R.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast