Sho Shimabukuro vs Alex Bolt — Guangzhou CH Round of 32

Guangzhou CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Sho Shimabukuro
JPN
Sho Shimabukuro
#95ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 April 2025
hard
Alex Bolt
AUS
Alex Bolt
#166ATP
1588ELO
1541Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
Shimabukuro S.
3-6 6-4 6-1
Bolt A.
Shimabukuro S.
3662
Bolt A.
6411

Sho Shimabukuro defeated Alex Bolt 3-6 6-4 6-1 in the Guangzhou CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Sho Shimabukuro came in ranked #95, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's final. Sho Shimabukuro extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersQ1hardSho Shimabukuro6-2 6-7(3) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Shimabukuro S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bolt A.

Bolt A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Shimabukuro S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Shimabukuro S.Bolt A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.2
7.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Shimabukuro S.Bolt A.
Clutch Rating·Even
42
44
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
93
Break points won·Clear edge
31
7
Deciding sets·Even
50
46
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Shimabukuro S.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Bolt A.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+65 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1541
5.1Overall Elo 1672
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1588
5.0
H2H
5.0
1.6
Surface form
4.5
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
6.7
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Shimabukuro S.Bolt A.
Freshness·Slight edge
95
100

Shimabukuro S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bolt A.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Atmane T.[4]
Schoolkate T.[3]
6-37-64
Semi-finals
Schoolkate T.[3]
Kachmazov A.
6-36-746-4
Atmane T.[4]
Holt B.[2]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Schoolkate T.[3]
Grenier H.[6]
6-46-4
Atmane T.[4]
Simakin I.
1-67-647-5
Holt B.[2]
Hsu Y.
6-46-3
Kachmazov A.
Mccabe J.[7]
7-656-4
R16
Kachmazov A.
Walton A.[1]
4-67-626-2
Mccabe J.[7]
Jasika O.
6-41-66-2
Grenier H.[6]
Bouzige M.
6-47-5
Atmane T.[4]
Sharipov M.
7-57-63
Hsu Y.
Escoffier A.
6-33-66-2
Simakin I.
Watanuki Y.
6-47-66
Schoolkate T.[3]
Shimabukuro S.
6-20-0
Holt B.[2]
Cui J.
7-677-64
R32
Holt B.[2]
Noguchi R.
7-637-62
Walton A.[1]
Ilagan A.
6-37-63
Kachmazov A.
Sun F.
6-47-65
Jasika O.
Langmo C.
6-47-65
Mccabe J.[7]
Samrej K.
6-36-736-3
Shimabukuro S.
Bolt A.
3-66-46-1
Bouzige M.
Roh H.
6-36-1
Watanuki Y.
Tu L.[5]
6-46-786-3
Simakin I.
Mo Y.
6-17-63
Escoffier A.
Svajda Z.
6-46-4
Atmane T.[4]
Te R.
5-76-36-1
Hsu Y.
Lestienne C.[8]
7-56-4
Cui J.
Zhou Y.
6-46-4
Schoolkate T.[3]
Peniston R.
6-44-66-4
Grenier H.[6]
Chen C.
6-26-4
Sharipov M.
Rosenkranz M.
6-33-66-4