Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Emiliana ArangoVic 125 Round of 32

Vic 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#143WTA
1726ELO
1655Clay ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 April 2025
clay
#96WTA
1624ELO
1553Clay ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
Sasnovich A.
6-7 6-3 7-6
Arango E.
Sasnovich A.
646772
Arango E.
773651

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Emiliana Arango 6-7 6-3 7-6 in the Vic 125 round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Emiliana Arango came in ranked #96, but Aliaksandra Sasnovich had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 4 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Arango E.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
53%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
0.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
61
57
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
56
Break points won·Clear edge
93
81
Deciding sets·Even
72
70
Tiebreaks·Dominant
25
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+102 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1553
6.5Overall Elo 1726
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1624
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
2.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
9.2
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
89

Sasnovich A.: 18 days rest · Arango E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast