Andrea Pellegrino vs Aleksandar Vukic — Estoril CH Semi-final

Estoril CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Andrea Pellegrino
ITA
Andrea Pellegrino
#138ATP
1674ELO
1654Clay ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 April 2025
clay
Aleksandar Vukic
AUS
Aleksandar Vukic
#113ATP
1630ELO
1516Clay ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLWWL
Pellegrino A.
6-4 6-4
Vukic A.
Pellegrino A.
662
Vukic A.
440

Andrea Pellegrino defeated Aleksandar Vukic 6-4 6-4 in the Estoril CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aleksandar Vukic came in ranked #113.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrea Pellegrino edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Pellegrino A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Vukic A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Pellegrino A.

Serve advantage — Pellegrino A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Pellegrino A.Vukic A.
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.8
8.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (89 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Pellegrino A.Vukic A.
Clutch Rating·Even
55
59
Break points saved·Dominant
67
97
Break points won·Clear edge
35
16
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
74
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
73
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pellegrino A.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Vukic A.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+138 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1516
4.4Overall Elo 1674
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1630
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
1.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 10
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
7.7
0.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pellegrino A.Vukic A.
Freshness·Clear edge
86
65

Pellegrino A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Vukic A.: played today · 2 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Michelsen A.[2]
Pellegrino A.
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Pellegrino A.
Vukic A.
6-46-4
Michelsen A.[2]
Kecmanovic M.[5]
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Pellegrino A.
Jarry N.[7]
7-605-76-1
Vukic A.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-16-1
Kecmanovic M.[5]
Borges N.[3]
6-06-756-4
Michelsen A.[2]
Nardi L.
6-36-4
R16
Zapata Miralles B.
De Jong J.
6-47-61
Kecmanovic M.[5]
Yevseyev D.
6-13-67-5
Borges N.[3]
Fucsovics M.
7-666-746-4
Jarry N.[7]
Elias G.
6-24-67-5
Vukic A.
Giron M.[4]
6-36-1
Michelsen A.[2]
Fonio G.
6-47-63
Nardi L.
Vatutin A.
6-36-2
Pellegrino A.
Auger Aliassime F.[1]
7-56-4
R32
Pellegrino A.
Lajovic D.
7-56-726-3
Elias G.
Tien L.
5-77-56-4
Jarry N.[7]
Rocha H.
6-7136-36-4
Vukic A.
Moreno De Alboran N.
6-32-66-0
Zapata Miralles B.
Faria J.
6-37-62
De Jong J.
Fonseca J.[8]
6-27-5
Kecmanovic M.[5]
Struff J.
6-17-5
Yevseyev D.
Coppejans K.
6-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Zeppieri G.
2-67-636-1
Vatutin A.
Martinez P.[6]
6-46-3
Nardi L.
Kovacevic A.
6-26-3
Fonio G.
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-4