Luca Nardi vs Alexey Vatutin — Estoril CH Round of 16

Estoril CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
ITA
Luca Nardi
#160ATP
1585ELO
1537Clay ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 April 2025
clay
RUS
Alexey Vatutin
#610ATP
1415ELO
1374Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Nardi L.
6-3 6-2
Vatutin A.
Nardi L.
662
Vatutin A.
320

Luca Nardi defeated Alexey Vatutin 6-3 6-2 in the Estoril CH round of 16 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nardi L.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Vatutin A.

Vatutin A.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Nardi L.Vatutin A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.7
1.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nardi L.Vatutin A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
32
0
Break points saved·Dominant
92
18
Break points won·Clear edge
15
32
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
10
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
17
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nardi L.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Vatutin A.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 48 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.5+163 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Clay Elo 1374
7.6Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1415
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.8
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nardi L.Vatutin A.
Freshness·
90
—

Nardi L.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Michelsen A.[2]
Pellegrino A.
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Pellegrino A.
Vukic A.
6-46-4
Michelsen A.[2]
Kecmanovic M.[5]
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Pellegrino A.
Jarry N.[7]
7-605-76-1
Vukic A.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-16-1
Kecmanovic M.[5]
Borges N.[3]
6-06-756-4
Michelsen A.[2]
Nardi L.
6-36-4
R16
Zapata Miralles B.
De Jong J.
6-47-61
Kecmanovic M.[5]
Yevseyev D.
6-13-67-5
Borges N.[3]
Fucsovics M.
7-666-746-4
Jarry N.[7]
Elias G.
6-24-67-5
Vukic A.
Giron M.[4]
6-36-1
Michelsen A.[2]
Fonio G.
6-47-63
Nardi L.
Vatutin A.
6-36-2
Pellegrino A.
Auger Aliassime F.[1]
7-56-4
R32
Pellegrino A.
Lajovic D.
7-56-726-3
Elias G.
Tien L.
5-77-56-4
Jarry N.[7]
Rocha H.
6-7136-36-4
Vukic A.
Moreno De Alboran N.
6-32-66-0
Zapata Miralles B.
Faria J.
6-37-62
De Jong J.
Fonseca J.[8]
6-27-5
Kecmanovic M.[5]
Struff J.
6-17-5
Yevseyev D.
Coppejans K.
6-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Zeppieri G.
2-67-636-1
Vatutin A.
Martinez P.[6]
6-46-3
Nardi L.
Kovacevic A.
6-26-3
Fonio G.
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-4