Andrea Pellegrino vs Bernabe Zapata MirallesEstoril CH Qualifying Round 2

Estoril CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#138ATP
1674ELO
1654Clay ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 April 2025
clay
1413ELO
1407Clay ELO
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Pellegrino A.
7-5 6-0
Zapata Miralles B.
Pellegrino A.
762
Zapata Miralles B.
500

Andrea Pellegrino defeated Bernabe Zapata Miralles 7-5 6-0 in the Estoril CH qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Bernabe Zapata Miralles came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Andrea Pellegrino had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay. Andrea Pellegrino claimed a first win over Bernabe Zapata Miralles in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-05-21GenevaQ1clayBernabe Zapata Miralles5-7 6-1 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Pellegrino A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Zapata Miralles B.

Zapata Miralles B.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Pellegrino A.

Serve advantage — Pellegrino A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (89 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
55
49
Break points saved·Slight edge
67
74
Break points won·Dominant
35
80
Deciding sets·Dominant
82
56
Tiebreaks·Dominant
73
3

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+246 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1407
6.8Overall Elo 1674
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1413
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
6.2
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
5.1
0.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Pellegrino A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast