Alex Michelsen vs Andrea PellegrinoEstoril CH Final

Estoril CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#46ATP
1825ELO
1694Clay ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 April 2025
clay
#138ATP
1674ELO
1654Clay ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWL
Michelsen A.
6-4 6-4
Pellegrino A.
Michelsen A.
662
Pellegrino A.
440

Alex Michelsen defeated Andrea Pellegrino 6-4 6-4 in the Estoril CH final on clay. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex Michelsen edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pellegrino A.

Pellegrino A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
2.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 89). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
55
Break points saved·Dominant
98
67
Break points won·Slight edge
46
35
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
82
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+41 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1654
8.3Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1674
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
7.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
5.9
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
86

Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Pellegrino A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast