Luca Nardi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic — Estoril CH Round of 32

Estoril CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ITA
Luca Nardi
#160ATP
1585ELO
1537Clay ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 April 2025
clay
Aleksandar Kovacevic
USA
Aleksandar Kovacevic
#70ATP
1636ELO
1563Clay ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Nardi L.
6-2 6-3
Kovacevic A.
Nardi L.
662
Kovacevic A.
230

Luca Nardi defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-2 6-3 in the Estoril CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aleksandar Kovacevic came in ranked #70.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nardi L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Nardi L.Kovacevic A.
1st serve in·Even
60%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.7
8.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nardi L.Kovacevic A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
32
53
Break points saved·Even
92
96
Break points won·Slight edge
15
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
17
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nardi L.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Kovacevic A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3Clay Elo 1537
Surface ELO
3.7+27 Clay Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1636
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.8
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
8.5
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nardi L.Kovacevic A.
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Nardi L.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Kovacevic A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Michelsen A.[2]
Pellegrino A.
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Pellegrino A.
Vukic A.
6-46-4
Michelsen A.[2]
Kecmanovic M.[5]
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Pellegrino A.
Jarry N.[7]
7-605-76-1
Vukic A.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-16-1
Kecmanovic M.[5]
Borges N.[3]
6-06-756-4
Michelsen A.[2]
Nardi L.
6-36-4
R16
Zapata Miralles B.
De Jong J.
6-47-61
Kecmanovic M.[5]
Yevseyev D.
6-13-67-5
Borges N.[3]
Fucsovics M.
7-666-746-4
Jarry N.[7]
Elias G.
6-24-67-5
Vukic A.
Giron M.[4]
6-36-1
Michelsen A.[2]
Fonio G.
6-47-63
Nardi L.
Vatutin A.
6-36-2
Pellegrino A.
Auger Aliassime F.[1]
7-56-4
R32
Pellegrino A.
Lajovic D.
7-56-726-3
Elias G.
Tien L.
5-77-56-4
Jarry N.[7]
Rocha H.
6-7136-36-4
Vukic A.
Moreno De Alboran N.
6-32-66-0
Zapata Miralles B.
Faria J.
6-37-62
De Jong J.
Fonseca J.[8]
6-27-5
Kecmanovic M.[5]
Struff J.
6-17-5
Yevseyev D.
Coppejans K.
6-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Zeppieri G.
2-67-636-1
Vatutin A.
Martinez P.[6]
6-46-3
Nardi L.
Kovacevic A.
6-26-3
Fonio G.
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-4