Alex Michelsen vs Miomir KecmanovicEstoril CH Semi-final

Estoril CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#46ATP
1825ELO
1694Clay ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 April 2025
clay
#59ATP
1768ELO
1733Clay ELO
$756kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLWWW
Michelsen A.
6-4 6-2
Kecmanovic M.
Michelsen A.
662
Kecmanovic M.
420

Alex Michelsen defeated Miomir Kecmanovic 6-4 6-2 in the Estoril CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Miomir Kecmanovic came in leading the head-to-head 2–0. Alex Michelsen claimed a first win over Miomir Kecmanovic in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassMiomir Kecmanovic6-2 3-6 6-3 3-6 7-6(6)
2025-02-10Delray BeachSFhardMiomir Kecmanovic7-6(3) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Kecmanovic M.

Kecmanovic M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Even
5.3
5.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
68
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Clear edge
46
67
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
60
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1694
Surface ELO
5.2+39 Clay Elo edge
6.2Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1768
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
3.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
5.5
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
82

Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Kecmanovic M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast