Gastao Elias vs Learner Tien — Estoril CH Round of 32

Estoril CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Gastao Elias
POR
Gastao Elias
#728ATP
1447ELO
1425Clay ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 April 2025
clay
Learner Tien
USA
Learner Tien
#15ATP
1941ELO
1821Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Elias G.
5-7 7-5 6-4
Tien L.
Elias G.
5762
Tien L.
7541

Gastao Elias defeated Learner Tien 5-7 7-5 6-4 in the Estoril CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Learner Tien came in ranked #15.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Elias G.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Tien L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Elias G.

Serve advantage — Tien L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Elias G.Tien L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Elias G.Tien L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
37
90
Break points saved·Dominant
57
97
Break points won·Dominant
24
83
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Elias G.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Tien L.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Clay Elo 1425
Surface ELO
7.4+397 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1447
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1941
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.3
Surface form
3.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
6.2
7.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Elias G.Tien L.
Freshness·
—
95

Tien L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Michelsen A.[2]
Pellegrino A.
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Pellegrino A.
Vukic A.
6-46-4
Michelsen A.[2]
Kecmanovic M.[5]
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Pellegrino A.
Jarry N.[7]
7-605-76-1
Vukic A.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-16-1
Kecmanovic M.[5]
Borges N.[3]
6-06-756-4
Michelsen A.[2]
Nardi L.
6-36-4
R16
Zapata Miralles B.
De Jong J.
6-47-61
Kecmanovic M.[5]
Yevseyev D.
6-13-67-5
Borges N.[3]
Fucsovics M.
7-666-746-4
Jarry N.[7]
Elias G.
6-24-67-5
Vukic A.
Giron M.[4]
6-36-1
Michelsen A.[2]
Fonio G.
6-47-63
Nardi L.
Vatutin A.
6-36-2
Pellegrino A.
Auger Aliassime F.[1]
7-56-4
R32
Pellegrino A.
Lajovic D.
7-56-726-3
Elias G.
Tien L.
5-77-56-4
Jarry N.[7]
Rocha H.
6-7136-36-4
Vukic A.
Moreno De Alboran N.
6-32-66-0
Zapata Miralles B.
Faria J.
6-37-62
De Jong J.
Fonseca J.[8]
6-27-5
Kecmanovic M.[5]
Struff J.
6-17-5
Yevseyev D.
Coppejans K.
6-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Zeppieri G.
2-67-636-1
Vatutin A.
Martinez P.[6]
6-46-3
Nardi L.
Kovacevic A.
6-26-3
Fonio G.
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-4