Andrea Pellegrino vs Felix Auger AliassimeEstoril CH Round of 16

Estoril CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#138ATP
1674ELO
1654Clay ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 April 2025
clay
#4ATP
1958ELO
1864Clay ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Pellegrino A.
7-5 6-4
Auger Aliassime F.
Pellegrino A.
762
Auger Aliassime F.
540

Andrea Pellegrino defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 7-5 6-4 in the Estoril CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Pellegrino A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Pellegrino A.

Serve advantage — Auger Aliassime F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.8
10.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (89 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
84
Break points saved·Dominant
67
100
Break points won·Clear edge
35
50
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
73
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.9Clay Elo 1654
Surface ELO
9.1+210 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1674
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1958
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
4.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
7.1
0.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
70

Pellegrino A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Auger Aliassime F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast