Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Liudmila SamsonovaMadrid Round of 32

Madrid · WTA · Round of 32
#55WTA
1759ELO
1719Clay ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 22 April 2025
clay
#41WTA
1775ELO
1718Clay ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
Starodubtseva Y.
2-6 7-6 6-0
Samsonova L.
Starodubtseva Y.
27762
Samsonova L.
66201

Yuliia Starodubtseva defeated Liudmila Samsonova 2-6 7-6 6-0 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Liudmila Samsonova came in ranked #41, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Yuliia Starodubtseva claimed a first win over Liudmila Samsonova in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR64grassLiudmila Samsonova6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Starodubtseva Y.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Samsonova L.

Samsonova L.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Starodubtseva Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Starodubtseva Y.Samsonova L.
61
Serve
42
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
75
69
Break points saved·Even
89
93
Break points won·Even
95
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
66
61
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3+1 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.7Clay Elo 1718
4.2Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1775
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.4
Surface form
5.0
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.2
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
86

Starodubtseva Y.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Samsonova L.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw