Anastasija Sevastova vs Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaMadrid Round of 128

Madrid · WTA · Round of 128
#286WTA
1719ELO
1695Clay ELO
36 yrs · 169 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 22 April 2025
clay
#128WTA
1775ELO
1692Clay ELO
35 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
Sevastova A.
6-4 7-5
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Sevastova A.
672
Pavlyuchenkova A.
450

Anastasija Sevastova defeated Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4 7-5 in the Madrid round of 128 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova came in ranked #128, leading the head-to-head 8–0, defending last year's round of 32. Anastasija Sevastova claimed a first win over Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova in nine meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 8–1.

Key context

Head to head

08
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-01-31Yarra Valley ClassicR32hardAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova6-0 6-3
2018-09-24WuhanR64hardAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova6-2 6-3
2018-04-21Fed Cup WG2 R1: RUS vs LATRRclayAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova6-3 2-6 6-4
2017-05-15RomeR32clayAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova7-6(4) 6-2
2016-10-10LinzR32hardAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova6-4 6-1
2011-03-07Indian WellsR64hardAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova6-2 7-5
2010-03-01MonterreySFhardAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova6-3 2-6 6-1
2010-01-18Australian OpenR128hardAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sevastova A.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Pavlyuchenkova A.

Pavlyuchenkova A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sevastova A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
42%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
66
85
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
87
Break points won·Even
89
91
Deciding sets·Clear edge
74
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
64
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.9+3 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.1Clay Elo 1692
4.1Overall Elo 1719
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1775
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
4.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.3
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw