Anastasia Potapova vs Ashlyn KruegerMadrid Round of 128

Madrid · WTA · Round of 128
#28WTA
1904ELO
1882Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 22 April 2025
clay
#102WTA
1791ELO
1678Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Potapova A.
6-7 6-4 6-2
Krueger A.
Potapova A.
67662
Krueger A.
79421

Anastasia Potapova defeated Ashlyn Krueger 6-7 6-4 6-2 in the Madrid round of 128 on clay. The result followed the form book — Anastasia Potapova came in ranked #28, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Potapova A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Krueger A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.8
4.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
81
79
Break points saved·Even
89
87
Break points won·Even
88
85
Deciding sets·Even
96
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
57
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
7.5+204 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Clay Elo 1678
6.8Overall Elo 1904
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1791
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
4.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
83

Potapova A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Krueger A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw