Madison Keys vs Donna VekicMadrid Round of 16

Madrid · WTA · Round of 16
#22WTA
1987ELO
1894Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 22 April 2025
clay
#34WTA
1807ELO
1754Clay ELO
$625kYTD
$11MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWL
Keys M.
6-2 6-3
Vekic D.
Keys M.
662
Vekic D.
230

Madison Keys defeated Donna Vekic 6-2 6-3 in the Madrid round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's semi-final. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30CharlestonR32clayMadison Keys6-2 6-3
2025-03-05Indian WellsR16hardMadison Keys4-6 7-6(7) 6-3
2019-08-05TorontoR64hardDonna Vekic3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(5)
2018-05-14RomeR32clayMadison Keys7-6(2) 7-6(0)
2016-05-23Roland GarrosR128clayMadison Keys6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Vekic D.

Vekic D.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (66 vs 63). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
94
67
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
86
Break points won·Even
90
91
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
77
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+140 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1754
7.3Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1807
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
7.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.8
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
96

Keys M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Vekic D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw