Anastasia Potapova vs Sofia KeninMadrid Round of 32

Madrid · WTA · Round of 32
#28WTA
1904ELO
1882Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 22 April 2025
clay
#105WTA
1694ELO
1655Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
Potapova A.
3-6 6-4 7-6
Kenin S.
Potapova A.
36782
Kenin S.
64661

Anastasia Potapova defeated Sofia Kenin 3-6 6-4 7-6 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Anastasia Potapova came in ranked #28, defending last year's round of 64. Anastasia Potapova claimed a first win over Sofia Kenin in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-11San DiegoQFhardSofia Kenin6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Potapova A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Kenin S.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Serve advantage — Potapova A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
40%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.5
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 67). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
66
Break points saved·Even
89
92
Break points won·Even
88
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
54
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
57
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.6+226 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 1655
6.6Overall Elo 1904
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1694
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
7.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
99
92

Potapova A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kenin S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw