Daria Kasatkina vs Alycia ParksMadrid Round of 64

Madrid · WTA · Round of 64
#65WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 22 April 2025
clay
#81WTA
1648ELO
1566Clay ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
Kasatkina D.
6-2 7-5
Parks A.
Kasatkina D.
672
Parks A.
250

Daria Kasatkina defeated Alycia Parks 6-2 7-5 in the Madrid round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-28US OpenR128hardDaria Kasatkina2-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Parks A.

Parks A.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kasatkina D.Parks A.
Serve
23
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
68%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Break points saved·Even
52%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.7
6.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.8
6.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
61
Break points saved·Even
80
79
Break points won·Dominant
100
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+203 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1566
6.2Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1648
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
2.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.2
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
96

Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Parks A.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw