Francesca Jones vs Laura SiegemundMadrid Qualifying Round 1

Madrid · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#106WTA
1619ELO
1621Clay ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWLL
0 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 22 April 2025
clay
#40WTA
1769ELO
1692Clay ELO
$736kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
38 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLWL
Jones F.
6-4 6-3
Siegemund L.
Jones F.
662
Siegemund L.
43

Francesca Jones defeated Laura Siegemund 6-4 6-3 in the Madrid qualifying round 1 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Laura Siegemund came in ranked #40, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Francesca Jones claimed a first win over Laura Siegemund in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-09LondonR32grassLaura Siegemund6-2 6-3
2024-04-01BogotaR16clayLaura Siegemund6-7(4) 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Jones F.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Siegemund L.

Siegemund L.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Jones F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
64
Break points saved·Even
80
80
Break points won·Slight edge
96
89
Deciding sets·Slight edge
70
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1621
Surface ELO
5.2+71 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1619
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1769
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.0
Surface form
3.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.1
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
73
98

Jones F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Siegemund L.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast