Lulu Sun vs Varvara GrachevaMadrid Round of 128

Madrid · WTA · Round of 128
#112WTA
1637ELO
1483Clay ELO
25 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 22 April 2025
clay
#88WTA
1810ELO
1701Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Sun L.
3-6 6-1 6-4
Gracheva V.
Sun L.
3662
Gracheva V.
6141

Lulu Sun defeated Varvara Gracheva 3-6 6-1 6-4 in the Madrid round of 128 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in ranked #88, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128. Lulu Sun claimed a first win over Varvara Gracheva in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-01AucklandR16hardVarvara Gracheva6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sun L.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sun L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
56%
Return points won·Even
40%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
72
74
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
76
Break points won·Dominant
52
87
Deciding sets·Even
90
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Clay Elo 1483
Surface ELO
7.4+218 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1637
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1810
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.3
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Sun L.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw