Maria Lourdes Carle vs Daria Snigur — Madrid Qualifying Round 1

Madrid · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
ARG
Maria Lourdes Carle
#232WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 22 April 2025
clay
Daria Snigur
UKR
Daria Snigur
#77WTA
1781ELO
1624Clay ELO
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Carle M.
5-7 7-6 6-4
Snigur D.
Carle M.
57962
Snigur D.
76741

Maria Lourdes Carle defeated Daria Snigur 5-7 7-6 6-4 in the Madrid qualifying round 1 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Snigur came in ranked #77.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carle M.serving28% hold

wins 41% of points on serve vs Snigur D.

Snigur D.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carle M.Snigur D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
73%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
59%
Return points won·Even
48%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.8
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 99). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carle M.Snigur D.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
56
Break points saved·Dominant
26
80
Break points won·Even
97
93
Deciding sets·Clear edge
56
38
Tiebreaks·
5
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carle M.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Snigur D.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1461
Surface ELO
6.9+163 Clay Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 1781
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carle M.Snigur D.
Freshness·Slight edge
86
92

Carle M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Snigur D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q2
Carle M.
Pera B.
7-646-2
Sonmez Z.
Lepchenko V.
6-26-2
Joint M.
Teichmann J.
7-626-1
Blinkova A.
Quevedo K.
6-47-67
Sasnovich A.
Grant T.
6-17-5
Fett J.
Ruzic A.
6-23-66-4
Masarova R.
Bejlek S.
6-25-76-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Jacquemot E.
7-652-67-5
Parry D.
Cocciaretto E.
6-26-2
Kostovic T.
Stefanini L.
6-26-2
Udvardy P.
Niemeier J.
6-26-3
Jones F.
Bucsa C.
7-633-66-1
Q1
Cocciaretto E.
Hon P.
6-26-1
Blinkova A.
Torner Sensano N.
6-36-3
Quevedo K.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-26-4
Pera B.
Roura Llaverias R.
6-26-4
Carle M.
Snigur D.
5-77-676-4
Sonmez Z.
Romero Gormaz L.
7-686-3
Lepchenko V.
Dart H.
6-46-736-3
Joint M.
Errani S.
6-42-66-2
Teichmann J.
Wickmayer Y.
6-16-2
Grant T.
Maria T.
6-36-3
Sasnovich A.
Bjorklund M.
6-36-1
Fett J.
Rakhimova K.
6-36-3
Ruzic A.
Geerlings A.
6-46-2
Masarova R.
Rus A.
6-17-5
Bejlek S.
Bondar A.
7-56-3
Jacquemot E.
Todoni A.
3-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Paquet C.
2-66-36-0
Parry D.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-27-5
Kostovic T.
Ruse E.
6-42-67-63
Stefanini L.
Andreeva E.
7-56-4
Udvardy P.
Gadecki O.
6-727-56-1
Niemeier J.
Zakharova A.
6-37-5
Bucsa C.
Chwalinska M.
7-56-0
Jones F.
Siegemund L.
6-46-3