Aryna Sabalenka vs Anna BlinkovaMadrid Round of 64

Madrid · WTA · Round of 64
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 22 April 2025
clay
#102WTA
1694ELO
1602Clay ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
Sabalenka A.
6-3 6-4
Blinkova A.
Sabalenka A.
662
Blinkova A.
340

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Anna Blinkova 6-3 6-4 in the Madrid round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonR32grassAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2020-09-21StrasbourgR16clayAryna Sabalenka1-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Blinkova A.

Blinkova A.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
53%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 75). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
66
Break points saved·Dominant
98
58
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
68
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+501 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1602
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1694
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
1.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
8.3
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.9
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
90
71

Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Blinkova A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw