Heather Watson vs Xinxin Yao — W100 Tokyo Round of 16

W100 Tokyo · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Heather Watson
GBR
Heather Watson
#470WTA
1572ELO
1548Hard ELO
34 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 April 2025
hard
CHN
Xinxin Yao
#290WTA
1450ELO
1440Hard ELO
22 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Watson H.
7-5 6-4
Yao X.
Watson H.
762
Yao X.
54–

Heather Watson defeated Xinxin Yao 7-5 6-4 in the W100 Tokyo round of 16 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Watson H.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Yao X.

Yao X.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Watson H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Watson H.Yao X.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Watson H.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Yao X.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+108 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1440
8.5Overall Elo 1572
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1450
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
3.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Watson H.Yao X.
Freshness·
100
—

Watson H.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Sonobe W.
Shibahara E.
6-46-716-3
Semi-finals
Sonobe W.
Gibson T.
7-56-4
Shibahara E.
Ito A.
6-34-67-64
Quarter-finals
Sonobe W.
Hartono A.
6-26-3
Shibahara E.
Inglis M.
6-36-3
Ito A.
Watson H.
6-36-3
Gibson T.
Marino R.
7-636-747-63
R16
Watson H.
Yao X.
7-56-4
Inglis M.
Tararudee L.
6-46-2
Gibson T.
Park S.
6-27-5
Sonobe W.
Zhu L.
6-24-67-5
Shibahara E.
Jones E.
6-776-16-1
Hartono A.
Hontama M.
6-36-4
Ito A.
Yamaguchi M.
6-26-726-4
Marino R.
Kaji H.
6-36-4
R32
Sonobe W.
Koshiishi A.
6-46-1
Inglis M.
Kinoshita H.
6-26-2
Tararudee L.
Okamura K.
6-46-3
Yamaguchi M.
Shimizu E.
6-41-66-4
Yao X.
Aiava D.
4-66-36-1
Watson H.
Diyas Z.
6-26-0
Kaji H.
Ma Y.
6-26-3
Gibson T.
Shi H.
7-56-3
Zhu L.
Ishii S.
6-47-64
Park S.
Saito S.
7-56-2
Ito A.
Bektas E.
6-36-4
Shibahara E.
Koike E.
6-16-4
Hontama M.
Nishimura K.
7-666-0
Hartono A.
Sawangkaew M.
6-46-1
Jones E.
Inoue H.
4-66-06-4
Marino R.
Shimizu A.
4-66-26-3