Arianne Hartono vs Mai HontamaW100 Tokyo Round of 16

W100 Tokyo · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#418WTA
1453ELO
1436Hard ELO
30 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 April 2025
hard
#202WTA
1480ELO
1442Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWLWLW
Hartono A.
6-3 6-4
Hontama M.
Hartono A.
662
Hontama M.
34

Arianne Hartono defeated Mai Hontama 6-3 6-4 in the W100 Tokyo round of 16 on hard. Arianne Hartono extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-16Hua Hin 2QFhardArianne Hartono4-6 6-2 6-3
2023-09-11OsakaQFhardMai Hontama6-7(2) 6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Hartono A.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Hontama M.

Hontama M.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Hartono A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
43%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.9
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (52 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
27
29
Break points saved·Clear edge
47
27
Break points won·Clear edge
81
96
Deciding sets·Even
26
28
Tiebreaks·
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.3Hard Elo 1436
Surface ELO
4.7+6 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1453
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1480
5.4
H2H
4.6
4.3
Surface form
4.7
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Hontama M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast