Francesco Maestrelli vs Lorenzo CarboniRome CH Round of 16

Rome CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 April 2025
clay
#471ATP
1161ELO
1166Clay ELO
20 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLWL
Maestrelli F.
3-6 6-4 6-2
Carboni L.
Maestrelli F.
3662
Carboni L.
6421

Francesco Maestrelli defeated Lorenzo Carboni 3-6 6-4 6-2 in the Rome CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Maestrelli F.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Carboni L.

Carboni L.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Serve advantage — Maestrelli F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (95 vs 53). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
2.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 189 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
9.0+301 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Clay Elo 1166
10.0Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1161
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.7
Surface form
2.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast