Mika Brunold vs Pablo Llamas RuizRome CH Qualifying Round 2

Rome CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#408ATP
1466ELO
1407Clay ELO
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 April 2025
clay
#119ATP
1757ELO
1732Clay ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Brunold M.
7-5 0-6 6-0
Llamas Ruiz P.
Brunold M.
7062
Llamas Ruiz P.
5601

Mika Brunold defeated Pablo Llamas Ruiz 7-5 0-6 6-0 in the Rome CH qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Llamas Ruiz came in ranked #119.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Brunold M.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Llamas Ruiz P.

Llamas Ruiz P.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Brunold M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
24
63
Break points saved·Clear edge
72
88
Break points won·Clear edge
15
39
Deciding sets·Dominant
3
79
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
1.7Clay Elo 1407
Surface ELO
8.3+326 Clay Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1466
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1757
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
5.9
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Llamas Ruiz P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast