Mayar Sherif vs Maria TimofeevaW100 Madrid Quarter-final

W100 Madrid · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#97WTA
1685ELO
1663Clay ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
clay
#79WTA
1696ELO
1688Clay ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Sherif M.
7-6 6-2
Timofeeva M.
Sherif M.
7762
Timofeeva M.
642

Mayar Sherif defeated Maria Timofeeva 7-6 6-2 in the W100 Madrid quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Maria Timofeeva came in ranked #79.

Key context

  • Match story: Mayar Sherif closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sherif M.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Timofeeva M.

Timofeeva M.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Sherif M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
75%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
54
Break points saved·Slight edge
84
76
Break points won·Clear edge
81
96
Deciding sets·Even
58
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.4Clay Elo 1663
Surface ELO
4.6+25 Clay Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1685
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1696
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
7.4
Surface form
2.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
58
96

Sherif M.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 115 games (7d) · Timofeeva M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast