Elmer Moller vs Roman SafiullinOeiras 4 CH Semi-final

Oeiras 4 CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#190ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$153kYTD
$725kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
clay
#96ATP
1750ELO
1754Clay ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Moller E.
6-2 6-4
Safiullin R.
Moller E.
662
Safiullin R.
240

Elmer Moller defeated Roman Safiullin 6-2 6-4 in the Oeiras 4 CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Roman Safiullin came in ranked #96.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Moller E.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Safiullin R.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Moller E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
64%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.3
5.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 54). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
69
68
Break points saved·Clear edge
81
96
Break points won·Clear edge
58
44
Deciding sets·Even
80
76
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1593
Surface ELO
6.9+161 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1609
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1750
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
4.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
84

Moller E.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Safiullin R.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast