Carlos Taberner vs Shintaro MochizukiOeiras 4 CH Round of 16

Oeiras 4 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#197ATP
1610ELO
1605Clay ELO
$102kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
clay
#115ATP
1475ELO
1433Clay ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Taberner C.
7-5 6-3
Mochizuki S.
Taberner C.
762
Mochizuki S.
530

Carlos Taberner defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 7-5 6-3 in the Oeiras 4 CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Taberner C.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Taberner C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
53
52
Break points saved·Even
74
74
Break points won·Even
59
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
75
47
Tiebreaks·Dominant
22
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+172 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 1433
6.3Overall Elo 1610
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3.5
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast