Holger Rune vs Karen KhachanovBarcelona Semi-final

Barcelona · ATP · Semi-final
#81ATP
1757ELO
1729Clay ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
clay
#26ATP
1828ELO
1787Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
Rune H.
6-3 6-2
Khachanov K.
Rune H.
662
Khachanov K.
320

Holger Rune defeated Karen Khachanov 6-3 6-2 in the Barcelona semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #26.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Khachanov K.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.3
7.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
86
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Even
84
81
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1729
Surface ELO
5.4+59 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1828
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
5.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.3
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
5.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Khachanov K.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 72%