Chloe Paquet vs Alina Charaeva — W100 Madrid Quarter-final

W100 Madrid · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final

FRA

Chloe Paquet

#297WTA

1479ELO

1456Clay ELO

32 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWLLWWLWW

0 — 0

Sets

Monday, 14 April 2025

clay

RUS

Alina Charaeva

#118WTA

1694ELO

1652Clay ELO

24 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWWLWWWLW

Paquet C.

6-3 6-4

Charaeva A.

Paquet C.

662

Charaeva A.

34–

Chloe Paquet defeated Alina Charaeva 6-3 6-4 in the W100 Madrid quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alina Charaeva came in ranked #118.

Key context

Match story: Chloe Paquet closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Paquet C.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Charaeva A.

Charaeva A.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Paquet C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Paquet C.Charaeva A.

1st serve in·Even

61%

60%

1st serve points won·Even

64%

65%

2nd serve points won·Even

44%

Service points won·Even

56%

57%

Return points won·Even

43%

45%

Break points saved·Even

55%

Aces / match·Clear edge

3.7

2.2

Double faults / match·Clear edge

5.1

4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Paquet C.Charaeva A.

Clutch Rating·Dominant

Break points saved·Clear edge

Break points won·Clear edge

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Even

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Paquet C.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Charaeva A.

6.5

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

2.2Clay Elo 1456

Surface ELO

7.8+196 Clay Elo edge

2.2Overall Elo 1479

ELO gap

7.8Overall Elo 1694

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0

5.1

Surface form

4.6

Fatigue & Travel

8.0

Minutes 14d

4.0

3-set count

4.0

Context

5.0

Defending pts

5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.