Alex Bolt vs Yosuke WatanukiBusan CH Round of 32

Busan CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#166ATP
1588ELO
1541Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
hard
#305ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
Bolt A.
6-3 7-6
Watanuki Y.
Bolt A.
6772
Watanuki Y.
3640

Alex Bolt defeated Yosuke Watanuki 6-3 7-6 in the Busan CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Bolt came in ranked #166, defending last year's round of 32. Alex Bolt claimed a first win over Yosuke Watanuki in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex Bolt closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-02-18Delray BeachQ1hardYosuke Watanuki6-1 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Bolt A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Watanuki Y.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bolt A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.6
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 60). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
44
52
Break points saved·Even
93
89
Break points won·Clear edge
7
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
46
61
Tiebreaks·Even
83
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 49 days (−1.0)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.0+10 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1531
5.1Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1541
5.4
H2H
4.6
4.5
Surface form
5.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
91

Bolt A.: 21 days rest · Watanuki Y.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast