Sebastian Korda vs Matteo Arnaldi — Barcelona Round of 32

Barcelona · ATP · Round of 32
Sebastian Korda
USA
Sebastian Korda
#63ATP
1809ELO
1670Clay ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
clay
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
Matteo Arnaldi
#34ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Korda S.
3-6 6-3 6-2
Arnaldi M.
Korda S.
3662
Arnaldi M.
6321

Sebastian Korda defeated Matteo Arnaldi 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the Barcelona round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve advantage — Korda S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Korda S.Arnaldi M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.2
5.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (63 vs 60). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Korda S.Arnaldi M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
78
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Clear edge
73
51
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
86
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Korda S.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Arnaldi M.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7Clay Elo 1670
Surface ELO
4.3+160 Clay Elo edge
7.4Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1830
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
4.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
8.5
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Korda S.Arnaldi M.
Freshness·
—
96

Arnaldi M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 72%
Final
Rune H.[6]
Alcaraz C.[1]
7-666-2
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Fils A.[7]
6-26-4
Rune H.[6]
Khachanov K.
6-36-2
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
De Minaur A.[5]
7-56-3
Khachanov K.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-47-5
Fils A.[7]
Tsitsipas S.[3]
2-0
Rune H.[6]
Ruud C.[2]
6-46-2
R16
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Korda S.
7-646-4
De Minaur A.[5]
Fearnley J.
6-16-2
Ruud C.[2]
Medjedovic H.
7-57-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Djere L.
6-26-4
Rune H.[6]
Baez S.
4-66-16-2
Davidovich Fokina A.
Rublev A.[4]
7-56-4
Khachanov K.
Munar J.
7-56-4
Fils A.[7]
Martinez P.
6-36-2
R32
Rublev A.[4]
De Jong J.
6-16-3
Alcaraz C.[1]
Quinn E.
6-27-66
Djere L.
Rinderknech A.
6-726-16-2
Munar J.
Tiafoe F.[9]
2-67-56-1
Rune H.[6]
Ramos A.
7-56-4
Baez S.
Dzumhur D.
6-17-5
Ruud C.[2]
Galan D.
6-46-3
Medjedovic H.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-57-66
Davidovich Fokina A.
Wawrinka S.
6-16-4
Khachanov K.
Norrie C.
6-736-46-3
Fils A.[7]
Carreno Busta P.
7-666-3
Martinez P.
Nakashima B.
7-55-76-4
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Opelka R.
6-26-2
De Minaur A.[5]
Etcheverry T.
6-46-4
Fearnley J.
Carballes Baena R.
6-17-5
Korda S.
Arnaldi M.
3-66-36-2