Luka Pavlovic vs Adrian Mannarino — Mexico City CH Semi-final

Mexico City CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
FRA
Luka Pavlovic
#241ATP
1481ELO
1442Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
FRA
Adrian Mannarino
[3]
#45ATP
1653ELO
1480Clay ELO
$445kYTD
$15MCAREER
37 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLLLWL

Luka Pavlovic defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-4 7-6 in the Mexico City CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #45, but Luka Pavlovic had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 7 on clay.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pavlovic L.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Mannarino A.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1442
Surface ELO
5.3+38 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1481
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1653
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.1
Surface form
2.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
2.6
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Pavlovic L.
6772
Mannarino A.
4630

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Pavlovic L.Mannarino A.
54%1st serve in+9%63%
79%1st serve points won+9%70%
45%2nd serve points won+4%49%
63%Service points won+1%62%
34%Return points won+1%35%
66%Break points saved+8%58%
11Aces / match+5.55.5
4.8Double faults / match+2.62.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Meligeni Alves F.[4]
Pavlovic L.
6-36-3
Semi-finals
Meligeni Alves F.[4]
Huesler M.[7]
3-66-37-63
Pavlovic L.
Mannarino A.[3]
6-47-63
Quarter-finals
Pavlovic L.
Varillas J.
6-30-66-4
Mannarino A.[3]
Tomic B.
5-76-16-1
Meligeni Alves F.[4]
Perez A.
6-36-2
Huesler M.[7]
Dougaz A.
6-776-17-5
R16
Pavlovic L.
Pacheco Mendez R.
7-646-3
Tomic B.
Hernandez Serrano J.
6-46-2
Meligeni Alves F.[4]
Blanch D.
7-646-3
Huesler M.[7]
Oberleitner N.
6-46-4
Dougaz A.
Soto M.
6-46-3
Mannarino A.[3]
Mejia N.
6-22-66-2
Varillas J.
Duckworth J.[1]
2-66-46-4
Perez A.
Martin A.
6-17-5
R32
Blanch D.
Alujas R.
3-66-26-3
Meligeni Alves F.[4]
Zhukayev B.
3-66-37-69
Huesler M.[7]
Zahraj P.
7-666-1
Oberleitner N.
Janvier M.
6-14-67-67
Soto M.
Neuchrist M.
7-656-3
Dougaz A.
Tirante T.[2]
6-33-66-3
Martin A.
Aguilar J.
6-16-0
Mejia N.
Cressy M.
7-636-3
Hernandez Serrano J.
Sakamoto P.
6-36-1
Perez A.
Ficovich J.[5]
7-626-4
Pavlovic L.
Napolitano S.
7-657-66
Pacheco Mendez R.
Galarneau A.[6]
6-36-3
Duckworth J.[1]
Alves M.
6-37-63
Tomic B.
Paris T.
6-46-2
Varillas J.
Rodriguez Taverna S.
6-16-4
Mannarino A.[3]
Mayo A.
7-656-4