Andrea Picchione vs Francesco Maestrelli — Monza CH Qualifying Round 1

Monza CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
ITA
Andrea Picchione
#477ATP
1324ELO
1305Clay ELO
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
Francesco Maestrelli
ITA6
Francesco Maestrelli
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Picchione A.
6-4 7-6
Maestrelli F.
Picchione A.
6772
Maestrelli F.
4640

Andrea Picchione defeated Francesco Maestrelli 6-4 7-6 in the Monza CH qualifying round 1 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149, but Andrea Picchione had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Picchione A.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Picchione A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Picchione A.Maestrelli F.
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Picchione A.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Maestrelli F.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Clay Elo 1305
Surface ELO
7.4+161 Clay Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1324
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1538
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
2.2
Surface form
3.1
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
6.4
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Picchione A.Maestrelli F.
Freshness·
—
97

Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Q2
Kuzmanov D.[4]
Stebe C.
6-26-1
Nagal S.[1]
Iannaccone F.
6-46-2
Brunold M.
Geerts M.[11]
2-66-46-2
Poljicak M.[5]
Berrettini J.
6-36-4
Picchione A.
Bertola R.[7]
6-27-5
Q1
Nagal S.[1]
Kirkin E.
5-77-626-2
Geerts M.[11]
Zeppieri G.
6-36-3
Kuzmanov D.[4]
Cecchinato M.
6-31-66-3
Bertola R.[7]
Klizan M.
6-32-1
Iannaccone F.
Travaglia S.[8]
4-66-26-3
Dalla Valle E.[10]
Romano F.
7-647-62
Brunold M.
Ymer E.[3]
7-57-65
Stebe C.
Negritu C.[12]
7-57-5
Poljicak M.[5]
Tabacco F.
6-36-2
Berrettini J.
Sels J.[9]
7-56-4
Picchione A.
Maestrelli F.[6]
6-47-64