Mitchell Krueger vs Joel SchwaerzlerSarasota CH Round of 32

Sarasota CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#364ATP
1461ELO
1427Clay ELO
32 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
#171ATP
1577ELO
1537Clay ELO
$101kYTD
$299kCAREER
20 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLWL
Krueger M.
7-6 7-6
Schwaerzler J.
Krueger M.
77772
Schwaerzler J.
62650

Mitchell Krueger defeated Joel Schwaerzler 7-6 7-6 in the Sarasota CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Joel Schwaerzler came in ranked #171, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Krueger M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Schwaerzler J.

Schwaerzler J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Krueger M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
16
55
Break points saved·Even
87
89
Break points won·Slight edge
14
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
13
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
0
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Clay Elo 1427
Surface ELO
6.7+110 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1461
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1577
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
4.9
Surface form
4.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
90

Krueger M.: 15 days rest · Schwaerzler J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast