August Holmgren vs Otto VirtanenMadrid CH Round of 32

Madrid CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#192ATP
1566ELO
1493Clay ELO
$130kYTD
$646kCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
#126ATP
1706ELO
1532Clay ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Holmgren A.
6-3 6-7 7-6
Virtanen O.
Holmgren A.
665772
Virtanen O.
377631

August Holmgren defeated Otto Virtanen 6-3 6-7 7-6 in the Madrid CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Otto Virtanen came in ranked #126. August Holmgren extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: August Holmgren closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–7 7–6.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-18Roland GarrosQFclayAugust Holmgren6.8-7.10 2-6

Serve vs return

This season
Holmgren A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Virtanen O.

Virtanen O.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Holmgren A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
33%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
64%
Aces / match·Even
8.4
8.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (78 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
43
48
Break points saved·Even
90
94
Break points won·Even
0
3
Deciding sets·Slight edge
46
57
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1493
Surface ELO
6.8+39 Clay Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1566
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1706
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
3.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.7
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
80

Holmgren A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Virtanen O.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast