Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Ofner — Madrid CH Round of 16

Madrid CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
LTU
Vilius Gaubas
#128ATP
1581ELO
1535Clay ELO
$275kYTD
$759kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
Sebastian Ofner
AUT
Sebastian Ofner
#125ATP
1713ELO
1680Clay ELO
$345kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Gaubas V.
4-6 6-3 6-3
Ofner S.
Gaubas V.
4662
Ofner S.
6331

Vilius Gaubas defeated Sebastian Ofner 4-6 6-3 6-3 in the Madrid CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Ofner came in ranked #125, but Vilius Gaubas had arrived on a 5-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gaubas V.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Ofner S.

Ofner S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Gaubas V.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Gaubas V.Ofner S.
1st serve in·Clear edge
69%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.9
7.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 68). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gaubas V.Ofner S.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
70
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
93
Break points won·Slight edge
52
43
Deciding sets·Even
86
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gaubas V.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Ofner S.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1535
Surface ELO
5.8+146 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1581
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1713
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
7.0
Surface form
5.5
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.5
Minutes 14d
3.9
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gaubas V.Ofner S.
Freshness·Clear edge
70
83

Gaubas V.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Ofner S.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Majchrzak K.
Cilic M.[8]
6-34-66-4
Semi-finals
Cilic M.[8]
Royer V.[7]
3-67-57-67
Majchrzak K.
Gombos N.
7-623-67-61
Quarter-finals
Cilic M.[8]
Gaubas V.
6-766-47-64
Gombos N.
Kotov P.[5]
6-787-56-3
Majchrzak K.
Carreno Busta P.[6]
6-7106-46-1
Royer V.[7]
Piros Z.
2-1
R16
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Hemery C.
6-45-77-69
Piros Z.
Coric B.[1]
5-76-36-4
Royer V.[7]
Holmgren A.
7-646-2
Gaubas V.
Ofner S.
4-66-36-3
Kotov P.[5]
Moro Canas A.
6-45-77-5
Majchrzak K.
Taberner C.
6-46-4
Cilic M.[8]
Trungelliti M.
6-24-66-1
Gombos N.
Shevchenko A.[4]
7-647-5
R32
Hemery C.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-32-66-4
Majchrzak K.
Dellien H.[2]
7-616-1
Coric B.[1]
Blockx A.
6-16-4
Piros Z.
Rincon D.
7-623-67-5
Gaubas V.
Giustino L.
4-67-57-5
Cilic M.[8]
Buse I.
6-37-5
Shevchenko A.[4]
Boyer T.
7-56-3
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Paul J.
6-26-1
Taberner C.
Roca Batalla O.
7-56-2
Royer V.[7]
Hardt N.
7-656-2
Kotov P.[5]
Hassan B.
6-46-4
Moro Canas A.
Butvilas E.
6-36-3
Holmgren A.
Virtanen O.
6-36-757-63
Gombos N.
Damas M.
6-46-3
Ofner S.
Harris B.[3]
4-66-37-5
Trungelliti M.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-36-3