Vilius Gaubas vs Lorenzo Giustino — Madrid CH Round of 32

Madrid CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
LTU
Vilius Gaubas
#128ATP
1581ELO
1535Clay ELO
$275kYTD
$759kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
Lorenzo Giustino
ITA
Lorenzo Giustino
#196ATP
1420ELO
1355Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Gaubas V.
4-6 7-5 7-5
Giustino L.
Gaubas V.
4772
Giustino L.
6551

Vilius Gaubas defeated Lorenzo Giustino 4-6 7-5 7-5 in the Madrid CH round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Vilius Gaubas came in ranked #128, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gaubas V.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Giustino L.

Giustino L.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Gaubas V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Gaubas V.Giustino L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.9
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 60). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gaubas V.Giustino L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
2
Break points saved·Dominant
87
41
Break points won·Dominant
52
12
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
12
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
8
26

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gaubas V.
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Giustino L.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+180 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Clay Elo 1355
7.5Overall Elo 1581
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1420
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
7.0
Surface form
4.3
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3.5
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gaubas V.Giustino L.
Freshness·Clear edge
70
51

Gaubas V.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Giustino L.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 120 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Majchrzak K.
Cilic M.[8]
6-34-66-4
Semi-finals
Cilic M.[8]
Royer V.[7]
3-67-57-67
Majchrzak K.
Gombos N.
7-623-67-61
Quarter-finals
Cilic M.[8]
Gaubas V.
6-766-47-64
Gombos N.
Kotov P.[5]
6-787-56-3
Majchrzak K.
Carreno Busta P.[6]
6-7106-46-1
Royer V.[7]
Piros Z.
2-1
R16
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Hemery C.
6-45-77-69
Piros Z.
Coric B.[1]
5-76-36-4
Royer V.[7]
Holmgren A.
7-646-2
Gaubas V.
Ofner S.
4-66-36-3
Kotov P.[5]
Moro Canas A.
6-45-77-5
Majchrzak K.
Taberner C.
6-46-4
Cilic M.[8]
Trungelliti M.
6-24-66-1
Gombos N.
Shevchenko A.[4]
7-647-5
R32
Hemery C.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-32-66-4
Majchrzak K.
Dellien H.[2]
7-616-1
Coric B.[1]
Blockx A.
6-16-4
Piros Z.
Rincon D.
7-623-67-5
Gaubas V.
Giustino L.
4-67-57-5
Cilic M.[8]
Buse I.
6-37-5
Shevchenko A.[4]
Boyer T.
7-56-3
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Paul J.
6-26-1
Taberner C.
Roca Batalla O.
7-56-2
Royer V.[7]
Hardt N.
7-656-2
Kotov P.[5]
Hassan B.
6-46-4
Moro Canas A.
Butvilas E.
6-36-3
Holmgren A.
Virtanen O.
6-36-757-63
Gombos N.
Damas M.
6-46-3
Ofner S.
Harris B.[3]
4-66-37-5
Trungelliti M.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-36-3