Marin Cilic vs Valentin Royer — Madrid CH Semi-final

Madrid CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Marin Cilic
CRO8
Marin Cilic
#88ATP
1800ELO
1701Clay ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
Valentin Royer
FRA7
Valentin Royer
#77ATP
1641ELO
1606Clay ELO
$521kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Cilic M.
3-6 7-5 7-6
Royer V.
Cilic M.
37792
Royer V.
65671

Marin Cilic defeated Valentin Royer 3-6 7-5 7-6 in the Madrid CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Valentin Royer came in ranked #77.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cilic M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Royer V.

Royer V.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Cilic M.Royer V.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.2
5.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 116). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cilic M.Royer V.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
59
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
94
Break points won·Slight edge
41
30
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cilic M.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Royer V.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+95 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1606
6.7Overall Elo 1800
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1641
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
8.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.2
Minutes 14d
6.2
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cilic M.Royer V.
Freshness·Dominant
98
57

Cilic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Royer V.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 94 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Majchrzak K.
Cilic M.[8]
6-34-66-4
Semi-finals
Cilic M.[8]
Royer V.[7]
3-67-57-67
Majchrzak K.
Gombos N.
7-623-67-61
Quarter-finals
Cilic M.[8]
Gaubas V.
6-766-47-64
Gombos N.
Kotov P.[5]
6-787-56-3
Majchrzak K.
Carreno Busta P.[6]
6-7106-46-1
Royer V.[7]
Piros Z.
2-1
R16
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Hemery C.
6-45-77-69
Piros Z.
Coric B.[1]
5-76-36-4
Royer V.[7]
Holmgren A.
7-646-2
Gaubas V.
Ofner S.
4-66-36-3
Kotov P.[5]
Moro Canas A.
6-45-77-5
Majchrzak K.
Taberner C.
6-46-4
Cilic M.[8]
Trungelliti M.
6-24-66-1
Gombos N.
Shevchenko A.[4]
7-647-5
R32
Hemery C.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-32-66-4
Majchrzak K.
Dellien H.[2]
7-616-1
Coric B.[1]
Blockx A.
6-16-4
Piros Z.
Rincon D.
7-623-67-5
Gaubas V.
Giustino L.
4-67-57-5
Cilic M.[8]
Buse I.
6-37-5
Shevchenko A.[4]
Boyer T.
7-56-3
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Paul J.
6-26-1
Taberner C.
Roca Batalla O.
7-56-2
Royer V.[7]
Hardt N.
7-656-2
Kotov P.[5]
Hassan B.
6-46-4
Moro Canas A.
Butvilas E.
6-36-3
Holmgren A.
Virtanen O.
6-36-757-63
Gombos N.
Damas M.
6-46-3
Ofner S.
Harris B.[3]
4-66-37-5
Trungelliti M.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-36-3