Alexandre Muller vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliMonte Carlo Masters Round of 64

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#126ATP
1665ELO
1628Clay ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Muller A.
6-4 6-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Muller A.
662
Ugo Carabelli C.
440

Alexandre Muller defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-4 6-4 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #59. Alexandre Muller extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexandre Muller edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-27WimbledonQ1grassAlexandre Muller2-6 5-2 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Muller A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Muller A.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.4
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (69 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
75
78
Break points saved·Even
94
90
Break points won·Clear edge
44
62
Deciding sets·Even
95
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1628
Surface ELO
5.8+112 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1759
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.3
Surface form
6.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
8.4
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
97

Muller A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%