Pavel Kotov vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Madrid CH Round of 16

Madrid CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Pavel Kotov
RUS5
Pavel Kotov
#246ATP
1597ELO
1529Clay ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
ESP
Alejandro Moro Canas
#227ATP
1526ELO
1484Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWL
Kotov P.
6-4 5-7 7-5
Moro Canas A.
Kotov P.
6572
Moro Canas A.
4751

Pavel Kotov defeated Alejandro Moro Canas 6-4 5-7 7-5 in the Madrid CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Moro Canas came in ranked #227, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Moro Canas A.

Moro Canas A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kotov P.Moro Canas A.
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.8
2.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kotov P.Moro Canas A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
24
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
82
Break points won·Clear edge
13
35
Deciding sets·Dominant
82
20
Tiebreaks·Dominant
76
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kotov P.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Moro Canas A.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+45 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1484
6.0Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1526
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
3.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
7.7
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kotov P.Moro Canas A.
Freshness·
—
100

Moro Canas A.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Majchrzak K.
Cilic M.[8]
6-34-66-4
Semi-finals
Cilic M.[8]
Royer V.[7]
3-67-57-67
Majchrzak K.
Gombos N.
7-623-67-61
Quarter-finals
Cilic M.[8]
Gaubas V.
6-766-47-64
Gombos N.
Kotov P.[5]
6-787-56-3
Majchrzak K.
Carreno Busta P.[6]
6-7106-46-1
Royer V.[7]
Piros Z.
2-1
R16
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Hemery C.
6-45-77-69
Piros Z.
Coric B.[1]
5-76-36-4
Royer V.[7]
Holmgren A.
7-646-2
Gaubas V.
Ofner S.
4-66-36-3
Kotov P.[5]
Moro Canas A.
6-45-77-5
Majchrzak K.
Taberner C.
6-46-4
Cilic M.[8]
Trungelliti M.
6-24-66-1
Gombos N.
Shevchenko A.[4]
7-647-5
R32
Hemery C.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-32-66-4
Majchrzak K.
Dellien H.[2]
7-616-1
Coric B.[1]
Blockx A.
6-16-4
Piros Z.
Rincon D.
7-623-67-5
Gaubas V.
Giustino L.
4-67-57-5
Cilic M.[8]
Buse I.
6-37-5
Shevchenko A.[4]
Boyer T.
7-56-3
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Paul J.
6-26-1
Taberner C.
Roca Batalla O.
7-56-2
Royer V.[7]
Hardt N.
7-656-2
Kotov P.[5]
Hassan B.
6-46-4
Moro Canas A.
Butvilas E.
6-36-3
Holmgren A.
Virtanen O.
6-36-757-63
Gombos N.
Damas M.
6-46-3
Ofner S.
Harris B.[3]
4-66-37-5
Trungelliti M.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-36-3