Pablo Carreno Busta vs Calvin Hemery — Madrid CH Round of 16

Madrid CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP6
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
FRA
Calvin Hemery
#298ATP
1439ELO
1449Clay ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
Carreno Busta P.
6-4 5-7 7-6
Hemery C.
Carreno Busta P.
657112
Hemery C.
47691

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Calvin Hemery 6-4 5-7 7-6 in the Madrid CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Hemery C.

Hemery C.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Hemery C.
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
6.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Hemery C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
45
Break points saved·Clear edge
97
85
Break points won·Dominant
61
3
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
64
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carreno Busta P.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Hemery C.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+318 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Clay Elo 1449
8.6Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1439
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.9
Minutes 14d
6.6
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Hemery C.
Freshness·Dominant
92
65

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Hemery C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Majchrzak K.
Cilic M.[8]
6-34-66-4
Semi-finals
Cilic M.[8]
Royer V.[7]
3-67-57-67
Majchrzak K.
Gombos N.
7-623-67-61
Quarter-finals
Cilic M.[8]
Gaubas V.
6-766-47-64
Gombos N.
Kotov P.[5]
6-787-56-3
Majchrzak K.
Carreno Busta P.[6]
6-7106-46-1
Royer V.[7]
Piros Z.
2-1
R16
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Hemery C.
6-45-77-69
Piros Z.
Coric B.[1]
5-76-36-4
Royer V.[7]
Holmgren A.
7-646-2
Gaubas V.
Ofner S.
4-66-36-3
Kotov P.[5]
Moro Canas A.
6-45-77-5
Majchrzak K.
Taberner C.
6-46-4
Cilic M.[8]
Trungelliti M.
6-24-66-1
Gombos N.
Shevchenko A.[4]
7-647-5
R32
Hemery C.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-32-66-4
Majchrzak K.
Dellien H.[2]
7-616-1
Coric B.[1]
Blockx A.
6-16-4
Piros Z.
Rincon D.
7-623-67-5
Gaubas V.
Giustino L.
4-67-57-5
Cilic M.[8]
Buse I.
6-37-5
Shevchenko A.[4]
Boyer T.
7-56-3
Carreno Busta P.[6]
Paul J.
6-26-1
Taberner C.
Roca Batalla O.
7-56-2
Royer V.[7]
Hardt N.
7-656-2
Kotov P.[5]
Hassan B.
6-46-4
Moro Canas A.
Butvilas E.
6-36-3
Holmgren A.
Virtanen O.
6-36-757-63
Gombos N.
Damas M.
6-46-3
Ofner S.
Harris B.[3]
4-66-37-5
Trungelliti M.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-36-3