Marin Cilic vs Ignacio BuseMadrid CH Round of 32

Madrid CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#88ATP
1800ELO
1701Clay ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
#33ATP
1822ELO
1786Clay ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Cilic M.
6-3 7-5
Buse I.
Cilic M.
672
Buse I.
350

Marin Cilic defeated Ignacio Buse 6-3 7-5 in the Madrid CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Ignacio Buse came in ranked #33, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Marin Cilic closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cilic M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Buse I.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cilic M.Buse I.
Serve
41
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.2
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
63
Break points saved·Clear edge
99
87
Break points won·Clear edge
41
28
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4Clay Elo 1701
Surface ELO
4.6+85 Clay Elo edge
6.1Overall Elo 1800
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1822
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
5.7
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.2
Minutes 14d
4.1
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
94

Cilic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Buse I.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast