Jakub Paul vs Nikoloz BasilashviliMadrid CH Qualifying Round 1

Madrid CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#543ATP
1389ELO
1348Clay ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
#135ATP
1672ELO
1635Clay ELO
$326kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLW
Paul J.
4-6 6-1 6-2
Basilashvili N.
Paul J.
4662
Basilashvili N.
6121

Jakub Paul defeated Nikoloz Basilashvili 4-6 6-1 6-2 in the Madrid CH qualifying round 1 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Nikoloz Basilashvili came in ranked #135, but Jakub Paul had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 5 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paul J.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Basilashvili N.

Basilashvili N.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Paul J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.7
6.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (65 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
21
73
Break points saved·Dominant
62
92
Break points won·Clear edge
20
42
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
93
Tiebreaks·Even
85
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Clay Elo 1348
Surface ELO
8.0+288 Clay Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1389
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1672
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
5.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.7
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Basilashvili N.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast