Federico Arnaboldi vs Juan Manuel CerundoloMonza CH Round of 16

Monza CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#527ATP
1328ELO
1289Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
#45ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
Arnaboldi F.
6-2 6-4
Cerundolo J.
Arnaboldi F.
662
Cerundolo J.
240

Federico Arnaboldi defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-2 6-4 in the Monza CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Manuel Cerundolo came in ranked #45.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaboldi F.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Cerundolo J.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Arnaboldi F.

Serve advantage — Cerundolo J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Arnaboldi F.Cerundolo J.
Serve
15
Return
41

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.4
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (69 vs 107). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
38
85
Break points saved·Dominant
41
82
Break points won·Dominant
15
80
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.5Clay Elo 1289
Surface ELO
9.5+473 Clay Elo edge
0.9Overall Elo 1328
ELO gap
9.1Overall Elo 1790
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
5.7
0.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
100

Arnaboldi F.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Cerundolo J.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast