Luca Van Assche vs Federico ArnaboldiMonza CH Quarter-final

Monza CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#86ATP
1701ELO
1639Clay ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
#527ATP
1328ELO
1289Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWW
Van Assche L.
6-4 3-6 6-3
Arnaboldi F.
Van Assche L.
6362
Arnaboldi F.
4631

Luca Van Assche defeated Federico Arnaboldi 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the Monza CH quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Luca Van Assche came in ranked #86.

Key context

  • Match story: Luca Van Assche closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Van Assche L.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Arnaboldi F.

Arnaboldi F.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Van Assche L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
67
38
Break points saved·Dominant
91
41
Break points won·Dominant
61
15
Deciding sets·Even
79
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.8+350 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Clay Elo 1289
9.3Overall Elo 1701
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1328
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
4.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.9
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
99
80

Van Assche L.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Arnaboldi F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast