Carlos Alcaraz vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaMonte Carlo Masters Semi-final

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
#23ATP
1893ELO
1813Clay ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Alcaraz C.
7-6 6-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Alcaraz C.
7762
Davidovich Fokina A.
6240

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-6 6-4 in the Monte Carlo Masters semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-17BarcelonaQFclayCarlos Alcaraz7-6(5) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
91
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Even
99
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+289 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1813
9.8Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.2Overall Elo 1893
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.9
Surface form
4.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
79

Davidovich Fokina A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%
Semi-finals
Musetti L.[13]
De Minaur A.[8]
1-66-47-64
Alcaraz C.[2]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-626-4