Frances Tiafoe vs Adam Walton — Houston Round of 16

Houston · ATP · Round of 16
Frances Tiafoe
USA2
Frances Tiafoe
#19ATP
1918ELO
1827Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
Adam Walton
AUS
Adam Walton
#85ATP
1703ELO
1543Clay ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWWL
Tiafoe F.
7-5 6-3
Walton A.
Tiafoe F.
762
Walton A.
530

Frances Tiafoe defeated Adam Walton 7-5 6-3 in the Houston round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's final. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-12-30BrisbaneR32hardFrances Tiafoe7-6(5) 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Tiafoe F.Walton A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.6
6.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 108). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tiafoe F.Walton A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
83
65
Break points saved·Even
99
95
Break points won·Dominant
57
20
Deciding sets·Even
92
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tiafoe F.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Walton A.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
8.8+284 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Clay Elo 1543
7.7Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1703
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
5.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tiafoe F.Walton A.
Freshness·Slight edge
72
62

Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d) · Walton A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Brooksby J.
Tiafoe F.[2]
6-46-2
Semi-finals
Tiafoe F.[2]
Nakashima B.[4]
6-47-63
Brooksby J.
Paul T.[1]
7-653-67-66
Quarter-finals
Paul T.[1]
Smith C.
6-17-61
Tiafoe F.[2]
Michelsen A.[5]
7-56-1
Nakashima B.[4]
Eubanks C.
6-46-4
Brooksby J.
Kovacevic A.
2-66-36-4
R16
Eubanks C.
Nishikori K.[8]
6-10-0
Smith C.
Quinn E.
6-36-4
Kovacevic A.
Denolly C.
6-36-3
Nakashima B.[4]
Mcdonald M.
6-17-5
Michelsen A.[5]
Mannarino A.
6-706-46-2
Tiafoe F.[2]
Walton A.
7-56-3
Brooksby J.
Tabilo A.[3]
3-66-47-66
Paul T.[1]
Garin C.
2-66-27-65
R32
Mannarino A.
Hanfmann Y.
7-656-3
Denolly C.
Holt B.
7-677-68
Smith C.
Duckworth J.
6-26-2
Quinn E.
Thompson J.[6]
4-66-46-3
Nishikori K.[8]
Krueger M.
6-46-2
Mcdonald M.
Galan D.
6-26-736-4
Michelsen A.[5]
Tien L.
6-46-2
Walton A.
Mmoh M.
6-37-65
Eubanks C.
Hijikata R.
6-24-66-3
Kovacevic A.
Etcheverry T.[7]
6-36-4
Garin C.
Ritschard A.
6-36-4
Brooksby J.
Daniel T.
6-46-4